Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.004875 0.005394 0.005933 0.006532 0.007178 0.007853 0.008610
2024-12-15 0.004188 0.004946 0.005772 0.006734 0.007819 0.009003 0.010387
2024-12-22 0.003718 0.004606 0.005609 0.006817 0.008225 0.009804 0.011702
2024-12-29 0.003420 0.004411 0.005563 0.006989 0.008693 0.010650 0.013053
2025-01-05 0.003191 0.004265 0.005546 0.007170 0.009153 0.011476 0.014379
2025-01-12 0.002838 0.003931 0.005272 0.007010 0.009179 0.011768 0.015060
2025-01-19 0.002591 0.003710 0.005114 0.006974 0.009339 0.012209 0.015914
2025-01-26 0.002349 0.003474 0.004919 0.006873 0.009402 0.012519 0.016603
2025-02-02 0.002169 0.003305 0.004797 0.006852 0.009557 0.012939 0.017425
2025-02-09 0.002001 0.003141 0.004670 0.006814 0.009679 0.013311 0.018187
2025-02-16 0.001921 0.003092 0.004692 0.006970 0.010056 0.014011 0.019374
2025-02-23 0.001763 0.002922 0.004537 0.006876 0.010092 0.014265 0.019986
2025-03-02 0.001644 0.002803 0.004451 0.006879 0.010263 0.014708 0.020866
2025-03-09 0.001603 0.002799 0.004528 0.007110 0.010750 0.015579 0.022325
2025-03-16 0.001523 0.002730 0.004506 0.007196 0.011037 0.016184 0.023438
2025-03-23 0.001476 0.002708 0.004549 0.007375 0.011454 0.016970 0.024803
2025-03-30 0.001435 0.002692 0.004600 0.007564 0.011887 0.017782 0.026216
2025-04-06 0.001307 0.002526 0.004415 0.007397 0.011806 0.017885 0.026665
2025-04-13 0.001220 0.002422 0.004320 0.007360 0.011907 0.018237 0.027454
2025-04-20 0.001125 0.002297 0.004184 0.007253 0.011902 0.018437 0.028035
2025-04-27 0.001055 0.002212 0.004107 0.007232 0.012018 0.018808 0.028854
2025-05-04 0.000986 0.002124 0.004021 0.007192 0.012102 0.019131 0.029610
2025-05-11 0.000962 0.002115 0.004064 0.007356 0.012495 0.019902 0.031005